Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 117.412268 134.938815 155.210886 180.636731 212.023244 249.967937 3.000449e+02
2025-03-30 90.390998 111.249823 137.817717 174.981223 227.056455 299.795439 4.137343e+02
2025-04-06 77.572306 99.903891 130.267850 176.163679 246.881149 357.720367 5.590152e+02
2025-04-13 68.375434 91.067398 123.477024 175.514290 262.119461 411.894518 7.233219e+02
2025-04-20 63.543781 87.288704 122.795573 183.212182 291.791122 499.898983 1.003416e+03
2025-04-27 60.941927 86.222712 125.745099 196.997352 335.630229 632.747923 1.491818e+03
2025-05-04 55.847882 80.582752 120.426463 195.178742 349.074022 707.515036 1.903476e+03
2025-05-11 52.237713 76.816508 117.580446 197.148034 370.674569 812.159904 2.546842e+03
2025-05-18 48.350705 72.149469 112.526314 193.849524 379.698228 889.078817 3.210592e+03
2025-05-25 45.712222 69.278852 110.242923 195.603536 401.071472 1014.631937 4.378269e+03
2025-06-01 43.089713 66.168480 107.123146 195.017331 416.546692 1132.416535 5.857078e+03
2025-06-08 40.354162 62.614191 102.770376 191.018947 421.996750 1220.106775 7.470400e+03
2025-06-15 39.085658 61.745110 103.809899 200.218657 470.451023 1530.824766 1.352468e+04
2025-06-22 36.220969 57.769682 98.392127 193.650799 471.077161 1643.791419 1.864087e+04
2025-06-29 34.454096 55.646980 96.418866 195.004139 497.547581 1919.597742 3.296885e+04
2025-07-06 32.679841 53.347448 93.804677 194.259254 517.164578 2192.035063 6.019237e+04
2025-07-13 31.881817 52.821389 94.817598 203.096531 575.482787 2824.324702 2.064934e+05
2025-07-20 31.641358 53.340828 98.127459 218.967818 671.150517 4027.453998 3.918945e+06
2025-07-27 30.119397 51.191886 95.280311 216.870705 691.324922 4622.890860 8.069721e+08
2025-08-03 29.018759 49.801889 93.996249 219.141620 733.345788 5653.445908 NaN
2025-08-10 27.626389 47.715523 90.894334 215.338554 744.957560 6365.784999 NaN
2025-08-17 26.691985 46.505244 89.722402 217.360463 788.269203 7866.090522 NaN
2025-08-24 25.672485 45.045814 87.812323 216.684622 817.696549 9384.142009 NaN